Core message:
Hormone therapy doesn’t just palliate; it changes natural history when used correctly and long enough.
(EBCTCG 2023; NCCN 2025)

Setting Typical survival gain Notes
ER + Breast (AI vs Tamoxifen) ~30 % ↓ recurrence / ~15 % ↓ mortality 5 y AI > 5 y Tamoxifen
Breast, extended AI 10 y Additional ~3–5 % DFS benefit Bone loss doubles
Locally advanced Prostate (ADT + RT vs RT alone) ~20 % ↑ 15-y OS Max benefit with 24–36 mo ADT
Metastatic Prostate (ADT + AR blocker) +12–24 mo median OS Largest modern improvement

Predictors of benefit

  • Receptor expression level (>10 % cells = best).

  • Early PSA/estradiol nadir.

  • Longer time to biochemical relapse.

  • Absence of visceral metastases.